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2025-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Nebraska Cornhuskers UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 โœ“ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Hoiberg 36 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 7 2 1 0 0 10 +18.8
Juwan Gary 33 8-15 1-3 3-3 8 0 2 0 2 20 13 +15.6
Brice Williams 31 6-14 3-8 6-8 4 3 1 0 2 21 13 +5.6
Connor Essegian 28 8-16 4-8 1-3 4 2 1 0 1 21 11 +19.8
Andrew Morgan 27 4-6 0-0 0-1 3 4 1 1 2 8 9 +12.3
Cale Jacobsen 25 2-4 1-1 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 5 8 -5.2
Braxton Meah 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -1.6
Ahron Ulis 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -0.8
Berke Buyuktuncel 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -0.5

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moustapha Thiam 36 4-9 1-3 0-0 11 2 1 3 2 9 15 -11.1
Jordan Ivy-Curry 31 12-22 3-9 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 29 5 -21.3
Tyler Hendricks 29 2-7 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 5 6 +4.3
Nils Machowski 28 5-10 2-5 1-2 6 1 3 0 1 13 12 +3.1
Darius Johnson 27 1-11 0-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 3 4 -5 -13.6
Dallan Coleman 24 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 4 4 -1.4
D. Johnson 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Benny Williams 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 +5.6

* = starter