Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -8 (80-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson | 37 | 11-23 | 5-13 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 16 | +6.4 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 34 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 26 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Dallan Coleman | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +4.5 |
| Benny Williams | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Nils Machowski | 20 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2.2 |
| D. Johnson | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Mitchell | 32 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | -2.7 |
| D. Thomas | 29 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Aziz Bandaogo | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Jizzle James | 26 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -4 | -14.8 |
| Simas Lukosius | 25 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3.7 |
| Josh Reed | 19 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | +3.9 |
| Rayvon Griffith | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Halvine Dzellat | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Tyler Betsey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
* = starter