Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +7 (100-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finley Bizjack | 39 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 8-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 25 | +4.2 |
| Pierre Brooks | 31 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +16.9 |
| Patrick McCaffery | 28 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -10.9 |
| Evan Haywood | 25 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +7.2 |
| Boden Kapke | 24 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +9.0 |
| Kolby King | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6.3 |
| Andre Screen | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -9.6 |
| Landon Moore | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -0.4 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart | 34 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +6.5 |
| Alvaro Cardenas | 32 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -4.7 |
| Andrew Meadow | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -3.3 |
| RJ Keene | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Javan Buchanan | 25 | 11-13 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | +2.7 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Julian Bowie | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +11.2 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.6 |
* = starter