Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -21 (64-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enoch Boakye | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +9.3 |
| Eric Dixon | 30 | 8-13 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +15.5 |
| Wooga Poplar | 29 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 13 | +10.7 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 29 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +21.2 |
| Jordan Longino | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +29.3 |
| Tyler Perkins | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +10.7 |
| Kris Parker | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Jordann Dumont | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +3.4 |
| Josiah Moseley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Collin O'Toole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Kossaras | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -18.3 |
| RJ Smith | 33 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -2.3 |
| E. Malone | 32 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | -17.7 |
| B. Dak | 30 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +2.1 |
| A. Jakimovski | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.2 |
| A. Diop | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -16.3 |
| J. Ruffin | 13 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -14.3 |
| T. Baskin | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -18.2 |
| H. Carrington | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +6.1 |
| J. Pease | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.8 |
* = starter