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2025-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“

Actual: Belmont Bruins +9 (66-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jasmine Bascoe 36 4-15 1-8 1-1 5 5 1 0 5 10 1 +3.2
Maddie Webber 36 8-20 1-7 1-2 5 4 1 1 4 18 5 +5.5
Maddie Burke 26 1-5 1-4 0-0 7 1 2 2 0 3 10 +2.9
Ryanne Allen 21 2-10 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 2 +4.8
Denae Carter 19 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 4 0 6 12 -0.2
Lara Edmanson 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 +3.5
Jaliyah Green 16 2-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 1 -0.2
Kaitlyn Orihel 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 4 +5.1
Bronagh Power-Cassidy 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 +0.2
Dani Ceseretti 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.9

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emily La Chapell 33 1-5 0-2 0-2 1 3 2 0 3 2 0 -1.5
Kendal Cheesman 32 4-13 3-5 0-0 10 1 1 1 0 11 11 -2.1
Tuti Jones 31 4-8 1-2 1-2 3 1 2 0 1 10 7 -3.7
Kendall Holmes 31 5-11 1-5 3-4 2 1 1 1 0 14 8 -2.0
Jailyn Banks 31 7-16 2-4 9-11 2 1 1 0 2 25 11 -1.7
Sanaa Tripp 18 0-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 0 4 -2.2
Jacee Busick 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.3
Carmyn Harrison 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 2 -2.3
Kensley Feltner 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -2.1

* = starter