Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Shearer | 38 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | -8.1 |
| A. Mark | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -6.8 |
| T. Hull | 32 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -6.2 |
| M. Meek | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -4.1 |
| M. Burnham | 18 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | -1.9 |
| R. Mogel | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6.8 |
| L. Spear | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -3.7 |
| N. Fraley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.0 |
| E. Strelein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| T. Barbosa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| E. Zimmerman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| A. Eddy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Bascoe | 33 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +10.1 |
| Jaliyah Green | 26 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.2 |
| Maddie Webber | 25 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Lara Edmanson | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Denae Carter | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Bronagh Power-Cassidy | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Ryanne Allen | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Maddie Burke | 17 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | +4.0 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.2 |
| Kaitlyn Orihel | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Maggie Grant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Annie Welde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter