Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Cleveland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland State Vikings -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Banks | 37 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +14.3 |
| Jordan Davis | 33 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +10.9 |
| Ty Pence | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Johnny Kinziger | 27 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +8.1 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Chase Walker | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -3.0 |
| Caden Boser | 19 | 7-7 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +15.0 |
| Landon Wolf | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.3 |
| Cade Norris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
Cleveland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevin Smith | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -6.3 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson | 28 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | -9.0 |
| Tahj Staveskie | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -11.2 |
| Isaac Abidde | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -10.2 |
| Chase Robinson | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ebrima Dibba | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -15.4 |
| Dylan Arnett | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -11.3 |
| Cole Franklin | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Reece Robinson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Chaz Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter