Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Lady Bears | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lacy Stokes | 40 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Kyrah Daniels | 33 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +6.0 |
| Paige Rocca | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +12.4 |
| Kaemyn Bekemeier | 28 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Sarah Linthacum | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -3.1 |
| Kiley Bess | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -11.7 |
| Lainie Douglas | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.4 |
| Cady Pauley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Grocholski | 40 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Mallory Heyer | 40 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Amaya Battle | 39 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Tori McKinney | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -5.0 |
| Annika Stewart | 17 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Sophie Hart | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Alexsia Rose | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +7.2 |
| Niamya Holloway | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.1 |
* = starter