Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izaiyah Nelson | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 22 | +0.7 |
| Taryn Todd | 38 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +4.9 |
| Kobe Julien | 34 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Joseph Pinion | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -4.2 |
| Derrian Ford | 21 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +2.7 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +11.2 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Floyd | 34 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Moulaye Sissoko | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | +12.4 |
| Grant Newell | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Atin Wright | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +9.7 |
| Brenen Lorient | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -13.1 |
| Johnathan Massie | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -9.8 |
| Latrell Jossell | 21 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | -6.9 |
| Rondel Walker | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +10.5 |
* = starter