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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 โœ— (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—

Actual: George Mason Patriots -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Davis 37 7-11 5-8 2-2 4 2 2 1 3 21 16 -
Duke Deen 31 3-13 3-11 0-0 4 6 2 0 4 9 4 +0.5
Corey Thomas 27 7-10 3-5 4-5 11 1 0 0 0 21 23 +1.2
Jaquan Johnson 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 2 7 +0.2
Darius Hannah 23 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 1 1 5 +0.4
Demarion Burch 19 4-9 1-1 0-1 0 0 1 1 3 9 -1 +2.3
Connor Dillon 14 1-3 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -1 +1.2
Ahmet Jonovic 13 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 2 1 7 10 +0.1
Timoty van der Knaap 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Maddox 39 6-13 3-10 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 15 8 -1.1
Jared Billups 32 1-1 0-0 6-6 3 1 4 0 1 8 14 +2.0
Jalen Haynes 31 3-10 0-0 5-9 4 2 2 0 5 11 4 -0.2
Brayden O'Connor 31 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 1 4 7 -4.3
Zach Anderson 29 4-11 3-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 11 5 -3.0
K.D. Johnson 23 4-6 1-2 7-9 1 1 2 0 3 16 11 -1.1
Stas Sivka 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 +3.0
Giovanni Emejuru 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
Justin Begg 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter