Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Santos | 39 | 5-16 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | -9.3 |
| Enoch Cheeks | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | -15.9 |
| Malachi Smith | 35 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -15.9 |
| Javon Bennett | 35 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -11.6 |
| Zed Key | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -14.4 |
| Amael L'Etang | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Jacob Conner | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Isaac Jack | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +0.8 |
| Jaiun Simon | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.1 |
| Brady Uhl | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff | 39 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 7-9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | +15.9 |
| Garrison Keeslar | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +21.9 |
| Bash Wieland | 32 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +11.6 |
| Trey Bonham | 28 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 24 | +11.2 |
| Collin Mulholland | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +14.7 |
| Jack Kostel | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Makai Richards | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Latif Diouf | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Sean Cusano | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +7.6 |
| Liam Vitters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Parker Robison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Houston Holland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Ryan Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter