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2025-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Utah Valley Wolverines San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevan Leonhardt 35 3-8 0-4 0-0 3 6 4 0 3 6 8 -5.2
Tanner Toolson 35 3-10 0-5 8-8 1 0 3 0 2 14 6 +0.0
Dominick Nelson 28 2-10 0-4 1-5 6 2 0 0 2 5 1 -11.1
Carter Welling 27 8-12 3-4 1-2 11 1 0 0 1 20 19 -2.0
Osiris Grady 15 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -14.8
Ethan Potter 14 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 5 7 -5.2
Hayden Welling 13 2-3 1-1 1-3 3 0 0 1 1 6 6 -5.7
Noah Taitz 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 -3.1
Jackson Holcombe 11 4-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 9 6 +14.5
Cory Wells 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 +0.8

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Beasley 39 7-13 3-6 2-2 0 6 1 0 4 19 9 -
Malik Thomas 37 6-19 3-7 6-6 10 2 1 0 1 21 14 +13.6
Carlton Linguard Jr. 35 7-11 4-7 0-0 6 2 2 1 4 18 14 +7.6
Tyrone Riley IV 26 5-11 0-5 1-2 9 1 2 0 0 11 12 +13.1
Junjie Wang 22 3-7 2-6 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 8 4 +8.3
Ro. Beasley 17 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Veniamin Abosi 15 1-3 0-2 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 2 4 +2.8
James O'Donnell 7 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 -6.8
Jason Rivera-Torres 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0
Saba Gigiberia 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter