Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +17 (86-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -4.4 |
| Jaden Brownell | 27 | 9-16 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | -8.5 |
| Lukas Walls | 26 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Trey Fort | 25 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Josh Holloway | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Julian Brown | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Collin Holloway | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -12.0 |
| Isaiah West | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.5 |
| Larry Olayinka | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Zion Wilburn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Grayson Walters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Anderson | 34 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | +16.4 |
| Brayden O'Connor | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | +6.4 |
| Darius Maddox | 32 | 5-13 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | +4.2 |
| Jared Billups | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +18.3 |
| Jalen Haynes | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +6.5 |
| K.D. Johnson | 23 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | +3.6 |
| Giovanni Emejuru | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Justin Begg | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Woody Newton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.1 |
| Bryson Cokley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Stas Sivka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter