Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleb Glenn | 34 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | -11.7 |
| Baba Miller | 29 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | +5.8 |
| Matas Vokietaitis | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -11.0 |
| K. Evans Jr. | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.5 |
| Tre Carroll | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Leland Walker | 21 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5.8 |
| KyKy Tandy | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +3.9 |
| Niccolo Moretti | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Devin Vanterpool | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2.3 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 37 | 10-16 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 19 | +2.0 |
| Enoch Cheeks | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +7.5 |
| Nate Santos | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Malachi Smith | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Zed Key | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Posh Alexander | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +7.2 |
| Amael L'Etang | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Jacob Conner | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Isaac Jack | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +7.0 |
| Jaiun Simon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +8.7 |
* = starter