Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff | 55 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | +6.4 |
| Bash Wieland | 48 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 9-9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 19 | +12.3 |
| Trey Bonham | 47 | 11-20 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 25 | +14.0 |
| Garrison Keeslar | 46 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | +6.7 |
| Collin Mulholland | 28 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | +14.2 |
| Jack Kostel | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -10.9 |
| Makai Richards | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Latif Diouf | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Sean Cusano | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Parker Robison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jestin Porter | 51 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Essam Mostafa | 48 | 11-15 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 38 | -10.9 |
| Camryn Weston | 44 | 12-20 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +1.5 |
| Jlynn Counter | 33 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -2.5 |
| Justin Bufford | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Kamari Lands | 26 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | -4.2 |
| Torey Alston | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Tre Green | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Jacob Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Chris Loofe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.4 |
* = starter