Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +25 (103-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Swope | 37 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | -3 | -20.6 |
| Gibson Jimerson | 35 | 2-11 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | -29.5 |
| Robbie Avila | 31 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | -21.2 |
| Amari McCottry | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | -9.8 |
| Kobe Johnson | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -22.3 |
| Kalu Anya | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.7 |
| Dylan Warlick | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -17.7 |
| Max Pikaar | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Kilian Brockhoff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izaiyah Nelson | 32 | 12-16 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 26 | +28.6 |
| Taryn Todd | 32 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +20.2 |
| Joseph Pinion | 29 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +27.6 |
| Derrian Ford | 26 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +25.6 |
| Kobe Julien | 26 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +17.4 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Avery Felts | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Cody Head | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Zane Butler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| Josh Hill | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Jacob St. Clair | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter