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2025-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Hampton Pirates UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hampton Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Noah Farrakhan 34 6-20 0-9 4-6 3 4 0 0 0 16 3 -0.4
Xzavier Long 30 1-5 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 1 1 2 1 -0.7
Kyrese Mullen 23 3-7 1-2 0-2 4 0 1 0 2 7 3 -4.9
G. Beale 21 2-8 1-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 7 4 -0.3
Etienne Strothers 18 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 7 5 +1.7
Wayne Bristol Jr. 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Trevor Smith 17 4-8 2-5 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 12 5 +1.9
Daniel Johnson 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 5 -2.0
Richard Goods 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -0.5
Eunique Rink 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1.5
Tyler Rice 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -1.1
Daniel Banister 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.5
Elijah Kennedy 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.1

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Moore 32 3-7 1-3 4-5 5 2 2 4 2 11 15 -1.3
G. Williams 28 0-3 0-1 4-6 7 0 0 0 2 4 6 -0.1
Nolan Hodge 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 2 +3.2
Donovan Newby 28 2-9 0-3 5-5 3 3 1 1 2 9 6 +3.5
Bo Montgomery 24 6-9 3-5 3-4 8 5 0 0 1 18 21 +5.9
Khamari McGriff 22 6-9 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 3 1 15 16 +0.8
Noah Ross 21 3-4 0-0 6-6 6 2 0 0 0 12 16 -2.0
Harlan Obioha 17 2-3 0-0 4-4 1 1 0 1 1 8 7 +1.5

* = starter