Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Miami (OH) RedHawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami (OH) RedHawks +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayton Conerway | 38 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | -4.1 |
| Thomas Dowd | 29 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Victor Valdes | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -12.3 |
| Jackson Fields | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -6.2 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -17.8 |
| Coo. Campbell | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Myles Rigsby | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.3 |
| Randarius Jones | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Suder | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +11.9 |
| Brant Byers | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +16.8 |
| Eian Elmer | 27 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +8.4 |
| Evan Ipsaro | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | +11.7 |
| Kam Craft | 24 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Mekhi Cooper | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | -5.1 |
| Luke Skaljac | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +8.2 |
| Antwone Woolfolk | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.4 |
* = starter