Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris | 39 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 21 | +2.2 |
| Andre Curbelo | 31 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 14 | +6.2 |
| Christian Watson | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Neftali Alvarez | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.1 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 25 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Cobie Montgomery | 13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| John Wade III | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Christian Reid | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 35 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -5.1 |
| Payton Sparks | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 23 | -0.3 |
| F. Hill | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 25 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | -4.2 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Mason Jones | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Joey Hart | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Ben Hendriks | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| TJ Burch | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter