Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 40 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 31 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -7.0 |
| Malachi Brown | 30 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | +10.4 |
| Zarique Nutter | 25 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Cesare Edwards | 25 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +8.5 |
| Clash Peters | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Nick McMullen | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | +6.5 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.2 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Batchelor | 34 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Tyson Dunn | 30 | 4-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | -13.2 |
| Ryan Sabol | 30 | 3-18 | 1-12 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | -8.4 |
| Anquan Boldin Jr. | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +14.6 |
| Ben Michaels | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Bryson Wilson | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Omar Migues-Hibeljic | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -3.7 |
| Kavon Bradford | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +8.3 |
| Tim Oboh | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Frederiks Meinarts | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.8 |
* = starter