Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Kent State Golden Flashes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.0% | 44.0% | -1.3 | ✗ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Julien | 38 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Taryn Todd | 36 | 5-18 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | +8.5 |
| Joseph Pinion | 34 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | -1.0 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -3.5 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Derrian Ford | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Justin Johnson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.0 |
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delrecco Gillespie | 37 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | +1.1 |
| Jalen Sullinger | 35 | 9-18 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Cian Medley | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Jamal Sumlin | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +9.8 |
| Marquis Barnett | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -10.9 |
| Magnus Entenmann | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Cli'ron Hornbeak | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +8.4 |
| Mike Bekelja | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.1 |
* = starter