Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Cryer | 40 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | +18.5 |
| J. Roberts | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | +22.5 |
| E. Sharp | 34 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +24.7 |
| M. Uzan | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | +4.8 |
| J. Tugler | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | +22.2 |
| J. Francis | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -7.6 |
| T. Arceneaux | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| M. Wilson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.8 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Knueppel | 38 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | -3.2 |
| T. Proctor | 37 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +1.9 |
| C. Flagg | 36 | 8-19 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 23 | -9.5 |
| S. James | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -21.9 |
| K. Maluach | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -28.0 |
| M. Brown | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +9.4 |
| C. Foster | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.1 |
| M. Gillis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.6 |
| P. Ngongba II | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.9 |
| I. Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
* = starter