Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Akins | 32 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +6.6 |
| J. Richardson | 30 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +10.3 |
| J. Kohler | 28 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | -8.1 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +5.4 |
| T. Holloman | 21 | 0-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | -19.7 |
| C. Carr | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -9.6 |
| F. Fidler | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +4.7 |
| S. Zapala | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +10.3 |
| C. Cooper | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -11.3 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Baker-Mazara | 32 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +13.1 |
| D. Jones | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | +0.3 |
| J. Broome | 29 | 10-13 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 28 | +4.0 |
| T. Pettiford | 27 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +9.8 |
| C. Johnson | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +9.3 |
| M. Kelly | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Dy. Cardwell | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +0.3 |
| C. Moore | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.9 |
* = starter