Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (85-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | -11.6 |
| Mark Sears | 31 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5 | -3.5 |
| Grant Nelson | 30 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -9.8 |
| Chris Youngblood | 24 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -10.5 |
| Aden Holloway | 20 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.2 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Derrion Reid | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.1 |
| Clifford Omoruyi | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.3 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Proctor | 36 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +10.8 |
| Cooper Flagg | 36 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | +7.7 |
| Kon Knueppel | 35 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +12.6 |
| Khaman Maluach | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 16 | +8.3 |
| Sion James | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +14.4 |
| Caleb Foster | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -6.0 |
| Mason Gillis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Patrick Ngongba | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Isaiah Evans | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Maliq Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.4 |
* = starter