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Alabama Crimson Tide 65
@
Duke Blue Devils 85
2025-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% - ✓
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 ✓ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 16.8% 83.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (85-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sears 31 2-12 1-5 1-3 0 6 0 0 5 6 -5 -3.5
L. Philon 31 4-9 3-6 5-6 5 3 3 0 2 16 16 -11.6
G. Nelson 30 5-10 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 10 9 -9.8
C. Youngblood 24 4-9 1-5 1-1 4 1 1 1 0 10 8 -10.5
A. Holloway 20 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 -1 -2.7
J. Stevenson 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7.2
M. Dioubate 14 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 1 1 6 6 -1.3
D. Reid 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 +6.1
C. Omoruyi 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 0 4 6 -0.1
A. Sherrell 9 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 +0.3

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Proctor 36 7-10 2-5 1-2 5 2 2 0 2 17 14 +10.8
C. Flagg 36 6-16 1-2 3-3 9 3 0 1 4 16 9 +7.7
K. Knueppel 35 6-15 2-4 7-7 5 5 3 0 2 21 17 +12.6
K. Maluach 31 6-7 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 2 4 14 16 +8.3
S. James 27 2-3 0-0 5-6 7 1 0 0 1 9 13 +14.4
C. Foster 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 5 7 -6.0
P. Ngongba II 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 3 0 0 0 1 4 +1.0
M. Gillis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +3.2
I. Evans 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +2.2
M. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.4

* = starter