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2025-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.2% 73.8% -
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Oweh 35 5-12 0-1 3-4 4 1 2 1 3 13 6 -3.7
L. Butler 33 7-10 4-5 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 18 16 -5.0
K. Brea 32 1-7 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 5 1 -0.8
A. Williams 26 6-9 0-0 2-4 4 3 2 0 2 14 12 -3.5
A. Carr 20 4-9 0-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 1 -7.4
B. Garrison 18 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 +2.0
C. Chandler 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 2 +3.7
T. Noah 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.9
A. Almonor 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -8.1

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Zeigler 35 5-13 2-6 6-7 1 10 1 0 2 18 15 +8.3
C. Lanier 32 7-16 1-6 2-3 4 1 1 0 1 17 6 +5.4
F. Okpara 30 4-5 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 0 8 15 +6.0
J. Gainey 30 6-12 1-4 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 16 8 +5.9
J. Mashack 28 1-3 0-0 2-3 3 3 5 0 0 4 12 +7.7
I. Milicic Jr. 18 3-5 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 4 8 4 +5.7
C. Phillips 14 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 1 1 2 5 +5.3
D. Dubar 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 5 7 +4.7

* = starter