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2025-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danny Wolf 34 9-18 2-4 0-2 6 1 0 1 4 20 6 -9.9
Vladislav Goldin 34 2-9 0-1 6-9 9 0 1 2 3 10 10 -8.0
Tre Donaldson 30 2-9 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 5 -6 -15.9
Rubin Jones 28 1-2 0-1 4-4 2 0 3 0 1 6 8 -19.0
Nimari Burnett 26 4-10 1-4 1-2 7 2 0 1 1 10 9 +5.6
Roddy Gayle Jr. 25 2-7 0-2 3-3 1 1 1 1 1 7 3 -2.9
L.J. Cason 11 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 6 -4.5
Will Tschetter 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 +0.1
P. Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.3

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denver Jones 35 7-13 4-7 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 20 12 +19.6
Johni Broome 30 9-21 1-3 3-5 16 1 2 0 5 22 15 +10.1
Miles Kelly 30 1-9 1-7 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 5 2 +1.9
Tahaad Pettiford 29 7-14 2-7 4-5 0 3 1 1 3 20 8 +17.7
Chaney Johnson 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 3 1 4 12 +1.1
Chad Baker-Mazara 25 2-9 0-3 2-2 2 2 2 1 3 6 1 +12.6
Dylan Cardwell 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 0 0 1 13 +16.6
Chris Moore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.2

* = starter