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2025-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Log Adjusted 12.7% 87.3% -
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Goldin 34 2-9 0-1 6-9 9 0 1 2 3 10 10 -8.0
D. Wolf 34 9-18 2-4 0-2 6 1 0 1 4 20 6 -9.9
T. Donaldson 30 2-9 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 5 -6 -15.9
R. Jones 28 1-2 0-1 4-4 2 0 3 0 1 6 8 -19.0
N. Burnett 26 4-10 1-4 1-2 7 2 0 1 1 10 9 +5.6
R. Gayle Jr. 25 2-7 0-2 3-3 1 1 1 1 1 7 3 -2.9
W. Tschetter 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 +0.1
L.J. Cason 11 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 6 -4.5
P. Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.3

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jones 35 7-13 4-7 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 20 12 +19.6
J. Broome 30 9-21 1-3 3-5 16 1 2 0 5 22 15 +10.1
M. Kelly 30 1-9 1-7 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 5 2 +1.9
T. Pettiford 29 7-14 2-7 4-5 0 3 1 1 3 20 8 +17.7
C. Johnson 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 3 1 4 12 +1.1
C. Baker-Mazara 25 2-9 0-3 2-2 2 2 2 1 3 6 1 +12.6
Dy. Cardwell 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 0 0 1 13 +16.6
C. Moore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.2

* = starter