Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | β (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | β |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morrow | 38 | 7-19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 1 | -8.3 |
| F. Johnson | 37 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | -7.2 |
| M. Williams | 32 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 3 | -2.9 |
| S. Smith | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | -0.3 |
| K. Gilbert | 25 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -7.6 |
| S. Day-Wilson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -15.2 |
| L. Poa | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Wolfenbarger | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.0 |
| M. Sheppard | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| A. Del Rosario | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| J. Richard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Jaquez | 38 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | +15.3 |
| K. Rice | 37 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +15.6 |
| L. Jones | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +9.7 |
| L. Betts | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 13 | +5.9 |
| A. DugaliΔ | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Gardiner | 22 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +5.7 |
| E. Aarnisalo | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +0.7 |
| J. Barker | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.0 |
| K. Dudley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
* = starter