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2025-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% -
Bradley-Terry 22.9% 77.1% -
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% -
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% -
Points Off/Def 31.1% 68.9% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davis 39 8-22 3-9 11-11 6 1 0 0 0 30 15 -1.7
D.J. Wagner 38 5-14 1-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 13 6 -
T. Brazile 36 4-8 2-5 1-1 5 0 1 1 0 11 10 -2.0
K. Knox 36 6-8 4-4 4-5 6 0 0 0 2 20 16 -2.0
J. Aidoo 34 3-5 0-0 0-1 9 1 1 1 3 6 10 -1.9
B. Richmond III 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Z. Ivisic 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 0 5 -2.0
B. Fland 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Thiero 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hawkins 45 1-10 1-7 1-2 5 5 2 0 5 4 1 +2.1
C. Anderson 44 7-14 3-9 5-5 4 3 0 0 0 22 15 -
Dar. Williams 38 8-26 2-10 2-2 9 3 3 1 1 20 9 +2.0
JT Toppin 37 10-18 0-1 0-0 10 1 0 5 1 20 17 +2.1
K. Overton 37 5-11 2-4 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
F. Federiko 13 3-3 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 0 7 13 +2.0
K. Walton 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +2.1

* = starter