Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (100-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Love | 40 | 11-21 | 5-11 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 20 | +17.9 |
| J. Bradley | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +12.4 |
| H. Veesaar | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Bryant | 26 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| KJ Lewis | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Townsend | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +15.0 |
| A. Dell'Orso | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +14.0 |
| T. Awaka | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Martinez | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Proctor | 37 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -5.8 |
| C. Flagg | 37 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 27 | -4.7 |
| K. Knueppel | 34 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | -5.7 |
| S. James | 32 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -7.4 |
| K. Maluach | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 15 | -9.3 |
| M. Gillis | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| P. Ngongba II | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Foster | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| I. Evans | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter