Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -7 (73-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Smith | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 22 | +2.8 |
| M. Williams | 36 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | +4.6 |
| A. Morrow | 35 | 12-25 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 28 | +13.9 |
| S. Day-Wilson | 35 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1.4 |
| F. Johnson | 30 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +9.8 |
| K. Gilbert | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -11.7 |
| M. Sheppard | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| L. Poa | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wolfenbarger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| J. Richard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Brooks | 36 | 9-21 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | -4.4 |
| A. James | 36 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +8.9 |
| S. Rivers | 36 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -2.0 |
| T. Trygger | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.4 |
| M. Cox | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +4.1 |
| M. Hayes | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -10.4 |
| Z. Jones | 18 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7.0 |
| L. Awou | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -5.5 |
| D. Quigley | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.1 |
* = starter