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2025-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.0% 81.0% - βœ“
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 βœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% - βœ“

Actual: UCLA Bruins +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Todd-Williams 35 5-12 1-2 2-2 9 1 1 0 2 13 10 -11.0
T. Sadler 33 5-11 0-2 4-4 1 3 2 0 0 14 9 -0.8
KK Deans 29 5-13 1-5 2-3 2 0 0 1 0 13 3 -4.8
M. Scott 25 2-11 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -6 -15.0
C. Iwuala 23 2-9 0-0 3-4 9 0 2 1 0 7 10 +4.1
S. Jacobs 21 2-7 0-0 3-8 2 0 1 0 2 7 1 -24.6
S. Thienou 20 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 -1 -4.6
K. Richardson 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -7.8
H. Carrera 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.1
A. Thompson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.0

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Jaquez 34 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 6 7 +20.8
L. Betts 31 15-16 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 3 4 31 26 +21.6
L. Jones 30 3-8 2-5 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 9 1 +13.6
K. Rice 27 3-7 1-1 6-6 3 7 1 0 3 13 14 +4.6
A. Dugalić 23 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 5 7 -
E. Aarnisalo 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 +16.5
J. Barker 16 2-4 0-0 4-6 6 1 1 2 2 8 12 +22.4
T. Gardiner 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -0.6
K. Dudley 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -3.9

* = starter