Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 38 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 35 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -4.8 |
| Tru Washington | 35 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +6.8 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6.0 |
| C.J. Noland | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +6.5 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Braden Appelhans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Akins | 30 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Jase Richardson | 30 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4.6 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Tre Holloman | 25 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +8.9 |
| Coen Carr | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Frankie Fidler | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +15.2 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -15.4 |
| Carson Cooper | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Szymon Zapala | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +1.2 |
* = starter