Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Saxen | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -13.5 |
| Luke Barrett | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -11.7 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 34 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -12.2 |
| Jordan Ross | 34 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | -14.1 |
| Harry Wessels | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 14 | -14.5 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Mikey Lewis | 11 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Andrew McKeever | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Kevin Gad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Joshua Dent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Cade Bennett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Nelson | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +15.7 |
| Labaron Philon | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | +11.8 |
| Mark Sears | 26 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | +10.5 |
| Clifford Omoruyi | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | +15.0 |
| Chris Youngblood | 24 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +12.6 |
| Aden Holloway | 22 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +14.6 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 15 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +5.1 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +9.7 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +5.7 |
| Derrion Reid | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Max Scharnowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter