Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +9 (47-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ustby | 40 | 3-10 | -1 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | |
| L. Donarski | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | ||
| R. Kelly | 33 | 2-13 | 2-3 | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | |
| I. Nivar | 30 | 4-12 | -1 | -2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | |
| L. Grant | 23 | 1-4 | -2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | |||
| M. Gakdeng | 17 | 1-3 | - | - | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| G. Townsend | 7 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| B. Thomas | 7 | 1-2 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| T. Crisp | 5 | -1 | -1 | - | 1 | 0 | |||||
| C. Toomey | 3 | -1 | - | - | 1 | -2 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 34 | 3-16 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | ||
| R. Richardson | 32 | 1-11 | 1-6 | -2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| D. Thomas | 29 | 4-6 | - | - | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | |||
| O. Okananwa | 28 | 5-11 | 2-6 | - | 12 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | ||
| J. Donovan | 22 | -2 | - | - | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |||
| V. de Jesus | 21 | 4-7 | -2 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | |
| T. Fournier | 17 | -2 | - | 3-8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | ||
| T. Mair | 10 | -1 | -1 | - | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| J. Wood | 4 | 1-2 | - | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |||
| E. Koabel | 3 | - | - | - | 0 |
* = starter