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2025-03-23

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 11.1% 88.9% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% -
Log Adjusted 11.2% 88.8% -
Points Off/Def 24.3% 75.7% -

Actual: Florida Gators +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. McNeeley 36 6-16 2-8 8-8 2 3 2 0 1 22 12 +6.1
A. Karaban 36 5-13 2-9 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 14 10 -1.6
H. Diarra 32 2-5 1-1 1-1 4 5 2 0 2 6 10 +1.7
S. Ball 32 2-11 2-9 2-3 4 3 1 0 2 8 3 +1.4
S. Johnson 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 1 1 10 15 -1.2
T. Reed Jr. 16 2-6 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 0 0 5 9 +4.2
J. Stewart 15 2-4 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 6 4 +4.6
A. Mahaney 8 1-2 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 +1.6
J. Ross 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Clayton Jr. 36 6-14 5-8 6-7 3 1 0 0 5 23 8 +5.9
A. Martin 35 7-12 2-4 2-4 4 3 1 0 0 18 14 -0.1
W. Richard 34 4-8 2-4 5-6 6 2 3 0 3 15 15 +2.9
A. Condon 28 1-2 0-1 3-8 7 4 0 0 1 5 13 -2.3
T. Haugh 27 1-4 0-2 5-6 7 2 0 0 0 7 12 +1.5
R. Chinyelu 15 3-4 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 0 1 6 8 -0.2
D. Aberdeen 14 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -1.3
M. Handlogten 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.1
U. Klavzar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

* = starter