๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +13.9 โœ“ (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.0% 95.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (89-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Langston Love 35 4-10 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 11 6 -18.5
VJ Edgecombe 33 6-12 1-5 3-5 6 1 1 0 0 16 12 -11.7
Norchad Omier 32 7-14 1-3 0-0 9 0 1 0 1 15 10 -5.6
Robert Wright 28 3-14 0-1 5-5 2 3 0 0 3 11 -1 -0.8
Jeremy Roach 26 3-10 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 1 -12.6
Jalen Celestine 20 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -7.1
Jayden Nunn 17 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -2.9
Marino Dubravcic 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.0
Jason Asemota 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Davidson Hubbard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9
Omar Adegbola 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Proctor 31 9-10 7-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 25 17 +11.0
Cooper Flagg 29 5-11 1-4 7-9 9 6 0 1 2 18 21 +12.8
Sion James 29 2-6 0-2 2-4 4 2 1 0 0 6 7 +13.9
Kon Knueppel 27 4-5 2-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 12 10 +8.6
Khaman Maluach 23 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 0 8 12 +4.2
Mason Gillis 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 8 +22.5
Patrick Ngongba 16 1-2 0-0 6-6 2 1 1 2 0 8 12 +13.1
Caleb Foster 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 6 5 +2.1
Isaiah Evans 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +0.4
Darren Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +3.3
Spencer Hubbard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Neal Begovich 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0
Cameron Sheffield 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter