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2025-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels Iowa State Cyclones Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% -
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% -
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Log Adjusted 28.6% 71.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: Iowa State Cyclones -13 (78-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Pedulla 37 6-13 3-8 5-6 2 8 4 0 1 20 20 +7.3
J. Murray 31 4-7 1-3 2-3 2 3 1 0 2 11 8 +2.4
M. Murrell 30 5-7 3-3 2-3 4 0 2 0 0 15 14 -0.9
D. Davis 29 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 1 1 4 7 +10.5
M. Dia 26 8-14 2-2 0-2 8 1 2 0 1 18 14 -4.3
J. Brakefield 26 6-8 2-2 5-5 2 0 2 0 3 19 12 +13.0
D. Barnes 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 +10.5
E. Klafke 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.1

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 37 5-10 0-2 6-11 8 1 2 0 4 16 13 -6.6
M. Momcilovic 34 2-12 1-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 5 -3 -2.8
N. Heise 32 5-5 3-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 13 13 +5.3
T. Lipsey 32 1-2 0-0 5-7 2 2 2 0 3 7 8 -0.8
C. Jones 31 9-17 4-9 4-4 4 3 0 0 4 26 12 +0.3
D. Jackson 17 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 9 7 -9.4
B. Chatfield 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -9.6
C. Kelderman 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.5

* = starter