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2025-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad 38 9-14 3-6 4-6 1 2 1 0 2 25 13 -4.9
N. Bittle 34 7-13 1-2 1-3 11 3 1 1 4 16 15 -3.5
TJ Bamba 33 6-13 1-4 4-7 3 3 1 0 1 17 10 +1.2
K. Barthelemy 32 3-8 1-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 8 1 -6.6
K. Evans Jr. 25 2-6 0-2 2-5 10 0 1 0 0 6 11 +17.3
J. Tracey 19 2-8 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 0 -8.8
B. Angel 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 5 2 -9.8
S. Cook 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Moss 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.7
M. Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bradley 39 5-12 1-2 1-2 3 4 3 0 2 12 8 +7.8
C. Love 37 10-18 5-7 4-4 9 4 1 0 3 29 22 +11.8
KJ Lewis 31 4-12 1-2 3-4 6 0 0 3 2 12 7 +12.1
C. Bryant 26 1-4 1-2 2-2 6 1 2 1 0 5 11 -3.1
T. Awaka 22 6-8 0-0 0-2 14 0 1 1 2 12 18 +14.8
A. Dell'Orso 18 3-5 2-4 4-4 0 1 0 0 0 12 8 +4.4
H. Veesaar 17 1-5 0-2 1-4 2 1 0 1 0 3 2 -6.7
T. Townsend 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 2 5 -3.1

* = starter