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2025-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% -
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +3 (111-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Weathers 50 4-10 1-5 0-0 5 6 1 0 2 9 9 +9.4
S. Barker 49 17-25 4-6 7-11 8 3 3 1 11 45 24 +13.6
E. Cody 41 6-10 1-3 5-6 5 1 5 2 2 18 19 +6.3
A. Nye 38 2-7 2-4 5-6 3 4 2 0 0 11 13 +8.3
D. Collins 27 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 7 +0.3
Z. Green 24 5-12 0-2 1-3 3 5 0 0 4 11 3 +4.7
C. Ezumah 19 3-5 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 0 0 8 7 -2.9
J. Cunningham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.1
C. Spreen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.3
L. Brooks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Te-Biasu 50 9-17 5-7 3-3 4 6 3 0 4 26 18 -5.4
A. Kubek 49 6-11 2-3 5-8 12 5 0 0 0 19 25 -3.2
S. Sellers 41 8-20 3-8 9-9 2 1 1 1 5 28 8 -5.0
M. McLean 36 3-8 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 0 2 8 9 -5.2
K. Smikle 35 9-18 1-6 5-5 7 1 3 1 6 24 12 +2.4
C. Dalce 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 2 +8.6
S. Poffenbarger 15 0-2 0-2 2-4 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -23.4
A. DeBerry 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 +4.9
E. Fisher 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.1

* = starter