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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.7% 94.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennett Stirtz 40 9-19 2-6 1-2 3 8 0 0 1 21 12 -0.7
Mitch Mascari 39 0-3 0-2 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.5
Daniel Abreu 37 5-11 5-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 15 7 -0.5
Tavion Banks 24 3-6 0-0 5-6 4 2 0 2 1 11 12 -0.7
Kael Combs 20 5-9 1-1 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 13 13 -0.7
Cam Manyawu 18 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 2 6 +0.0
Isaiah Jackson 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Isaia Howard 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +0.0
Nate Ferguson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Hawkins 38 3-6 0-2 10-11 3 7 0 0 0 16 20 +0.9
Christian Anderson 37 2-9 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Kerwin Walton 35 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.0
JT Toppin 32 11-13 0-0 3-4 12 0 0 2 1 25 25 +0.9
Dar. Williams 30 11-18 1-4 5-5 6 5 2 0 0 28 23 +0.7
Kevin Overton 20 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 +0.7
Federiko Federiko 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jack Francis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Corbin Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Leon Horner 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter