Model Predictions
| Model | West Virginia Mountaineers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (58-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Watson | 36 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | -3.4 |
| S. Shaw | 36 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -9.0 |
| J. Harrison | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -4.7 |
| JJ Quinerly | 31 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2 | -9.7 |
| S. Woodley | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -4.3 |
| T. Moore | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -14.8 |
| K. Blacksten | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.5 |
| J. Thomas | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1.2 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Donarski | 39 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +13.3 |
| A. Ustby | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | +13.0 |
| R. Kelly | 30 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | +7.7 |
| I. Nivar | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | +12.6 |
| M. Gakdeng | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +4.2 |
| L. Grant | 19 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +8.6 |
| G. Townsend | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.9 |
| B. Thomas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| T. Crisp | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| J. Zubich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| L. Hull | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| C. Toomey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter