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2025-03-24

Model Predictions

Model West Virginia Mountaineers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% -
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
KenPom Style 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (58-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

West Virginia Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Watson 36 4-11 -3 1-2 15 1 2 1 1 9 16
S. Shaw 36 2-10 1-8 3-3 2 3 1 8 4
J. Harrison 35 2-9 1-4 5-6 3 2 2 4 10 4
Player #4434015 31 2-12 -3 4-4 3 3 1 5 8 -2
S. Woodley 19 1-1 - 3-4 3 1 1 5 7
T. Moore 18 -4 - 1-2 4 1 1 1 3
K. Blacksten 17 1-6 -3 - 2 1 1 2 -2
J. Thomas 8 1-1 - 2-2 1 1 4 3

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Donarski 39 4-11 1-7 2-3 2 2 1 11 5
A. Ustby 34 7-11 - 7-10 7 4 3 6 21 18
R. Kelly 30 4-11 1-3 2-2 1 1 3 11 -1
I. Nivar 30 3-8 -1 - 10 2 1 2 4 6 9
M. Gakdeng 28 1-5 - 2-5 9 1 4 9
L. Grant 19 1-6 1-2 2-2 4 3 5 0
G. Townsend 13 -1 -1 - 1 2 1 1
B. Thomas 2 -1 - - 1 0
T. Crisp 2 -1 -1 - 1 0
J. Zubich 1 - - - 0
L. Hull 1 - - - 0
C. Toomey 1 - - - 0

* = starter