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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% -
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% -
Margin 24.0% 76.0% +6.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Log Adjusted 15.1% 84.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nembhard 40 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 11 2 0 5 10 15 -1.6
K. Battle 39 5-16 3-7 4-4 6 1 1 0 2 17 7 -3.5
G. Ike 37 8-13 2-3 9-9 5 1 0 2 2 27 20 -8.2
B. Huff 31 5-8 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 11 8 -8.6
E. Innocenti 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 3 8 +2.7
N. Hickman 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -9.1
M. Ajayi 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 +7.0
B. Gregg 5 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -2.1
D. Stromer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.1

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L.J. Cryer 37 8-15 6-11 8-8 2 3 1 0 1 30 20 +8.2
M. Uzan 37 2-7 1-2 2-2 2 8 1 0 3 7 8 +5.4
J. Roberts 32 9-18 0-0 0-2 8 5 2 0 0 18 15 +8.2
E. Sharp 25 4-7 1-3 3-4 1 0 1 0 2 12 5 +9.4
M. Wilson 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 2 1 0 3 10 -0.2
J. Tugler 20 5-9 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 2 1 10 14 +4.3
J. Francis 19 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 +7.7
T. Arceneaux 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.8

* = starter