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2025-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Texas Longhorns Spread Result
ELO 10.0% 90.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.0% 82.0% -
Margin 2.5% 97.5% +20.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
KenPom Style 46.6% 53.4% -
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +17 (65-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
G. Bryant 39 2-8 2-5 2-2 5 1 3 6 8 3
A. McKenzie 37 3-10 -2 7-9 3 3 2 13 7
B. Wallace 36 5-8 2-4 - 3 2 12 5
K. Bostic 36 4-13 -2 - 8 2 1 4 8 2
B. Shoup-Hill 25 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 2 1 4 5
J. Brown-Hagger 22 1-2 -1 1-2 3 2 1 1 3 6
H. Smith 3 - - - 0
I. Noya Catoira 1 - - - 1 -1
M. Zenere 1 - - - 0

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Booker 35 9-18 -1 2-2 6 1 2 2 20 9
R. Harmon 34 1-7 - 2-4 2 7 4 2 4 8
S. Holle 29 3-6 -2 - 3 1 1 1 6 4
N. Mwenentanda 29 7-10 -1 5-6 6 1 1 19 15
J. Lee 24 -4 -1 - 1 2 1 1 -1
T. Jones 24 6-11 - - 5 1 1 1 1 12 8
K. Oldacre 16 1-3 - - 7 1 1 1 2 7
B. Preston 9 1-1 - - 1 2 2
J. Codio 0 - - - 0
J. Carlton 0 - - - 0
S. Graves 0 - - - 0

* = starter