Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +17 (65-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Bryant | 39 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | -11.0 |
| A. McKenzie | 37 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -8.9 |
| B. Wallace | 36 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -13.9 |
| K. Bostic | 36 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | -14.5 |
| B. Shoup-Hill | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2.5 |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -4.9 |
| H. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| I. Noya Catoira | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| M. Zenere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Booker | 35 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +13.7 |
| R. Harmon | 34 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +8.0 |
| S. Holle | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +10.1 |
| N. Mwenentanda | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | +21.9 |
| J. Lee | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +8.5 |
| T. Jones | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +8.8 |
| K. Oldacre | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +7.3 |
| B. Preston | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
| J. Codio | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| J. Carlton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| S. Graves | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter