Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +15 (85-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Curry | 39 | 13-28 | 6-12 | 9-9 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 23 | -2.5 |
| T. Roberts | 35 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.8 |
| O. Cochran | 33 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | -1.7 |
| N. Harris | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4.2 |
| J. Williams | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -4.1 |
| I. Berry | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +9.8 |
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.1 |
| M. Russell | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.5 |
| M. Randolph | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| I. Juffermans | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
| I. Arenas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Prince | 40 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +8.6 |
| H. Van Lith | 40 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 16 | +6.9 |
| D. Hunter | 39 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | +9.5 |
| A. Emma-Nnopu | 38 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 13 | +9.5 |
| M. Conner | 37 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +3.9 |
| T. Bigby | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
| A. Roberson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter