Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +6 (59-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Falatea | 34 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -5.4 |
| D. Kelly | 33 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 1 | -7.6 |
| P. Kyei | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +5.1 |
| S. Bell | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -13.8 |
| P. Scott | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +7.4 |
| A. Muhammad | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.4 |
| A. Whitfield | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +5.0 |
| A. Long | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| S. Rambus | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14.1 |
| K. Fiso | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -16.2 |
| E. Etute | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
| F. Tilliander | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Richardson | 36 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +11.0 |
| A. Jackson | 35 | 7-17 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 6 | +6.6 |
| D. Thomas | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +7.9 |
| O. Okananwa | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +3.3 |
| J. Donovan | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +9.0 |
| T. Mair | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1.9 |
| J. Wood | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2.4 |
| V. de Jesus | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5.4 |
| E. Koabel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter