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2025-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Grand Canyon Lopes Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% -
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.2 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 13.9% 86.1% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +32 (81-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grand Canyon Lopes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Grant-Foster 34 5-13 3-7 10-14 4 3 0 0 4 23 13 -22.8
R. Harrison 33 3-10 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 6 -1 -16.6
J. Coles 31 2-8 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 4 3 -16.9
D. Brennan 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 2 7 -14.5
L. Wur 21 1-7 1-5 1-2 5 0 1 2 0 4 5 -23.6
M. Williams 21 2-7 0-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -4 -24.7
C. Moore 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 3 -1 -13.1
C. Shaw 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -11.4
S. Phipps 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 -2.9
T. Jackson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.0
A. Maurer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rice 34 3-11 1-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 9 -1 +22.3
D. Queen 33 4-9 0-0 4-8 15 3 0 2 3 12 20 +27.6
J. Gillespie 32 5-10 2-6 4-5 3 3 2 1 2 16 13 +19.0
J. Reese 27 8-15 0-0 2-6 9 1 2 2 1 18 16 +11.2
D. Harris-Smith 24 5-5 1-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 11 10 +26.9
S. Miguel 19 5-7 3-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 13 8 +8.2
J. Geronimo 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 2 7 +24.8
J. Young 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +11.9
T. Gapare 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +2.9
M. Palmer 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0
L. Sotell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
B. Murphy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter