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2025-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 20.0% 80.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% -
Log Adjusted 27.8% 72.2% -
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears 38 5-14 2-3 8-8 5 4 2 0 2 20 15 -4.1
J. Moore 33 4-13 0-3 5-5 7 0 0 1 2 13 6 -4.9
B. Goodine 30 1-6 0-4 3-4 2 0 4 0 2 5 3 -2.3
M. Wague 28 3-5 0-0 3-6 12 1 1 1 4 9 15 -6.1
D. Forsythe 18 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -2.9
D. Miles 17 2-6 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -2.0
K. Elvis 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -7.5
L. Northweather 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.7
G. Taylor Jr. 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 +1.5

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 38 5-11 1-5 2-4 7 0 2 2 4 13 9 +10.0
L. McNeeley 32 2-13 1-8 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 8 2 +8.1
H. Diarra 31 1-6 0-3 2-2 7 4 3 0 2 4 10 +10.3
S. Ball 28 4-7 2-5 4-4 5 0 1 1 2 14 12 +13.4
T. Reed Jr. 21 6-8 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 3 12 9 +15.7
S. Johnson 19 3-3 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 1 0 8 14 -6.3
J. Stewart 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 5 6 -0.8
A. Mahaney 13 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -2.8

* = starter