Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 37 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Dayvion McKnight | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Dailyn Swain | 30 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 24 | -2.4 |
| Zach Freemantle | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Marcus Foster | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Dante Maddox Jr. | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -12.5 |
| John Hugley IV | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Jerome Hunter | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.3 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell | 39 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +11.8 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 37 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 9-9 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 19 | +12.6 |
| Will Riley | 33 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +6.2 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 32 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +11.5 |
| Tre White | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Ben Humrichous | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +12.4 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter